2022 vs New Normal™ for people aged 45-49 in Pennsylvania
2,655 of 2,655 total deaths were from All Causes
100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
This is up 10% compared to Old Normal rates.
2,407 of 2,407 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
248 more deaths from All Causes in 2022.
723 more deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)
To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 10% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.
Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:
“How many people aged 45-49 were there?” and
“How many of them died from All Causes?”
The following 2 charts provide this information:
Deaths – All Causes – Male – Aged 45-49 | Pennsylvania, United-states
From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 2,655 of 721,085 people aged 45-49 living in Pennsylvania died from All Causes.
2,655 ÷ 721,085 = 0.00368 (2022 CDR)
We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes
Old Normal (2001-2014) Pennsylvania male aged 45-49 All Causes
Year
Pop
Died
From
|2000
908,650
3,077
3,077
|2001
930,848
3,256
3,256
|2002
951,250
3,177
3,177
|2003
969,269
3,414
3,414
|2004
981,476
3,388
3,388
|Year
Pop
Died
From
|2005
988,575
3,491
3,491
|2006
994,997
3,394
3,394
|2007
988,062
3,238
3,238
|2008
975,594
3,186
3,186
|2009
966,503
3,259
3,259
|Year
Pop
Died
From
|2010
955,763
3,146
3,146
|2011
926,744
3,055
3,055
|2012
902,425
2,800
2,800
|2013
878,784
2,733
2,733
|2014
855,811
2,694
2,694
Cumulative:
Population
Deaths
All Causes
Totals:
14,174,751
47,308
47,308
The table shows there were a total of 47,308 deaths from All Causes among 14,174,751 people aged 45-49 living in Pennsylvania in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.
47,308 ÷ 14,174,751 = 0.00334 (Old Normal CDR)
We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:
2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths
721,085 X 0.00334 = 2,407 expected deaths
The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:
2,655 – 2,407 = 248
Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:
2,655 ÷ 2,407 = 1.0999
This reveals 248 lives lost and is 109.99% of what we expected (an increase of 10%) in deaths from All Causes among people aged 45-49 living in Pennsylvania in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.
Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?
5yr CDR (2017-2021)
Year
Pop
Died
From
|2017
818,610
2,674
2,674
|2018
797,593
2,509
2,509
|2019
773,596
2,507
2,507
|2020
745,910
2,781
2,781
|2021
736,358
3,017
3,017
Total:
5,545,514
18,983
18,983
This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):
18,983 ÷ 5,545,514 = 0.00342 (5-yr CDR)
721,085(2022 pop) X 0.00342 = 2,468 expected deaths
The difference between actual and expected deaths:
2,655 – 2,468 = 187 or 187 lives lost
Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:
2,655 ÷ 2,468 = 1.0725 or an increase of 7%
for deaths from All Causes among people aged 45-49 living in Pennsylvania in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.
Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:
New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths
6,266,599 X 0.00334 = 20,915 expected deaths
The difference between actual and expected deaths:
21638 – 20,915 = 723 or 723 lives lost
Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:
21,638 ÷ 20,915 = 1.0315 or an increase of 3%
in deaths from All Causes among people aged 45-49 living in Pennsylvania in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.
New Normal (2015-2022)
Year
Pop
Died
From
|2015
841,603
2,711
2,711
|2016
831,844
2,784
2,784
|2017
818,610
2,674
2,674
|2018
797,593
2,509
2,509
|2019
773,596
2,507
2,507
|2020
745,910
2,781
2,781
|2021
736,358
3,017
3,017
|2022
721,085
2,655
2,655
Total:
6,266,599
21,638
21,638
The world has been led to believe that a deadly pandemic swept the globe beginning in 2020, causing an increase in death rates, especially among the elderly
The data show that death rates began to increase in 2015, immediately upon implementation of the UN’s 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, that young adults have experienced ever-increasing death rates since, and that death rates among the elderly have remained relatively stable.
Browse through the age-categorized charts below to see the evidence of this. Click on any chart to see the full analysis for each age group.
147,170 of the 147,170 deaths among individuals of all ages living in Pennsylvania in 2022 were from All Causes (100.00% of all deaths).
This is up 11% compared to Old Normal (2000-2014) rates which, when applied to the this year's both sexes population of 12,661,607 individuals would have predicted 131,955 deaths from All Causes.
This means there were 15,215 more deaths than expected from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in Pennsylvania in 2022.
To date, 84,530 individual lives have been lost to All Causes over the first 8 years of Pennsylvania's New Normal™.
Browse through the age categories below to learn how these deaths from All Causes in 2022 are distributed among each age group of individuals in Pennsylvania.
Click the bar graph above to see how both the 2022 loss of 15,215 lives and the 8-year loss of 84,530 individual lives from All Causes is arrived at.
The first 742 of the 147,170 deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among babies in their first year of life, accounting for 100.00% of the 742 total deaths in this group.
This is down 22% compared to Old Normal rates which, when applied to this year's population of 131,552 babies in their first year of life, would have predicted 949 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 207 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among babies in their first year of life living in Pennsylvania in 2022.
Overall, 6,340 deaths from All Causes represent 1,475 lives saved among babies in their first year of life over the first 8 years of Pennsylvania's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how both the 2022 total of 207 fewer live lost than expected and the 8 year total of 6340 lives saved from All Causes among babies in their first year of life is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 742 / 147,170
The next 145 of the 147,170 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among pre-schoolers aged 1-4, accounting for 99.99% of the 145 total deaths in this group.
This is up 1% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 539,653 pre-schoolers aged 1-4, would have predicted 141 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 4 more deaths than expected from All Causes among pre-schoolers aged 1-4 living in Pennsylvania in 2022.
Overall, 1,066 deaths from All Causes represent 111 lives saved among pre-schoolers aged 1-4 over the first 8 years of Pennsylvania's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 4 more and the 8 year total of 1,066 more individual aged 1-4 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 887 / 147,170
The next 96 of the 147,170 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among children aged 5-9, accounting for 99.99% of the 96 total deaths in this group.
This is up 2% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 722,469 children aged 5-9, would have predicted 91 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 5 more deaths than expected from All Causes among children aged 5-9 living in Pennsylvania in 2022.
Overall, 683 deaths from All Causes represent 53 lives saved among children aged 5-9 over the first 8 years of Pennsylvania's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 5 more and the 8 year total of 683 more individual aged 5-9 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 983 / 147,170
The next 129 of the 147,170 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among children aged 10-14, accounting for 99.99% of the 129 total deaths in this group.
This is up 7% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 756,526 children aged 10-14, would have predicted 113 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 16 more deaths than expected from All Causes among children aged 10-14 living in Pennsylvania in 2022.
Overall, 920 deaths from All Causes represent 13 lives lost among children aged 10-14 over the first 8 years of Pennsylvania's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 16 more and the 8 year total of 920 more individual aged 10-14 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 1,112 / 147,170
The next 455 of the 147,170 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among teens aged 15-19, accounting for 100.00% of the 455 total deaths in this group.
This is down 4% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 833,463 teens aged 15-19, would have predicted 465 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 10 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among teens aged 15-19 living in Pennsylvania in 2022.
Overall, 3,168 deaths from All Causes represent 472 lives saved among teens aged 15-19 over the first 8 years of Pennsylvania's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 10 fewer and the 8 year total of 3,168 fewer individual aged 15-19 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 1,567 / 147,170
The next 728 of the 147,170 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 20-24, accounting for 100.00% of the 728 total deaths in this group.
This is down 16% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 841,180 people aged 20-24, would have predicted 856 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 128 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 20-24 living in Pennsylvania in 2022.
Overall, 7,027 deaths from All Causes represent 350 lives lost among people aged 20-24 over the first 8 years of Pennsylvania's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 128 fewer and the 8 year total of 7,027 fewer individual aged 20-24 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 2,295 / 147,170
The next 1,162 of the 147,170 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 25-29, accounting for 100.00% of the 1,162 total deaths in this group.
This is up 32% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 806,508 people aged 25-29, would have predicted 874 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 288 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 25-29 living in Pennsylvania in 2022.
Overall, 10,241 deaths from All Causes represent 2,861 lives lost among people aged 25-29 over the first 8 years of Pennsylvania's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 288 more and the 8 year total of 10,241 more individual aged 25-29 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 3,457 / 147,170
The next 1,615 of the 147,170 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 30-34, accounting for 100.00% of the 1,615 total deaths in this group.
This is up 54% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 875,506 people aged 30-34, would have predicted 1,043 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 572 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 30-34 living in Pennsylvania in 2022.
Overall, 12,362 deaths from All Causes represent 4,352 lives lost among people aged 30-34 over the first 8 years of Pennsylvania's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 572 more and the 8 year total of 12,362 more individual aged 30-34 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 5,072 / 147,170
The next 1,947 of the 147,170 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 35-39, accounting for 100.00% of the 1,947 total deaths in this group.
This is up 51% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 834,213 people aged 35-39, would have predicted 1,284 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 663 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 35-39 living in Pennsylvania in 2022.
Overall, 13,623 deaths from All Causes represent 3,921 lives lost among people aged 35-39 over the first 8 years of Pennsylvania's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 663 more and the 8 year total of 13,623 more individual aged 35-39 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 7,019 / 147,170
The next 2,229 of the 147,170 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 40-44, accounting for 100.00% of the 2,229 total deaths in this group.
This is up 27% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 785,498 people aged 40-44, would have predicted 1,754 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 475 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 40-44 living in Pennsylvania in 2022.
Overall, 15,205 deaths from All Causes represent 1,950 lives lost among people aged 40-44 over the first 8 years of Pennsylvania's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 475 more and the 8 year total of 15,205 more individual aged 40-44 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 9,248 / 147,170
The next 2,655 of the 147,170 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 45-49, accounting for 100.00% of the 2,655 total deaths in this group.
This is up 10% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 721,085 people aged 45-49, would have predicted 2,407 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 248 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 45-49 living in Pennsylvania in 2022.
Overall, 21,638 deaths from All Causes represent 723 lives lost among people aged 45-49 over the first 8 years of Pennsylvania's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 248 more and the 8 year total of 21,638 more individual aged 45-49 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 11,903 / 147,170
The next 4,254 of the 147,170 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 50-54, accounting for 100.00% of the 4,254 total deaths in this group.
This is up 5% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 816,432 people aged 50-54, would have predicted 4,031 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 223 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 50-54 living in Pennsylvania in 2022.
Overall, 35,671 deaths from All Causes represent 1,758 lives lost among people aged 50-54 over the first 8 years of Pennsylvania's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 223 more and the 8 year total of 35,671 more individual aged 50-54 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 16,157 / 147,170
The next 6,890 of the 147,170 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 55-59, accounting for 100.00% of the 6,890 total deaths in this group.
This is up 10% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 864,931 people aged 55-59, would have predicted 6,244 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 646 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 55-59 living in Pennsylvania in 2022.
Overall, 56,050 deaths from All Causes represent 3,187 lives lost among people aged 55-59 over the first 8 years of Pennsylvania's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 646 more and the 8 year total of 56,050 more individual aged 55-59 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 23,047 / 147,170
The next 10,616 of the 147,170 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 60-64, accounting for 100.00% of the 10,616 total deaths in this group.
This is up 7% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 901,066 people aged 60-64, would have predicted 9,889 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 727 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 60-64 living in Pennsylvania in 2022.
Overall, 77,694 deaths from All Causes represent 124 lives lost among people aged 60-64 over the first 8 years of Pennsylvania's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 727 more and the 8 year total of 77,694 more individual aged 60-64 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 33,663 / 147,170
The next 13,235 of the 147,170 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 65-69, accounting for 100.00% of the 13,235 total deaths in this group.
This is down 2% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 813,996 elderly men and women aged 65-69, would have predicted 13,537 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 302 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Pennsylvania in 2022.
Overall, 94,695 deaths from All Causes represent 5,757 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 65-69 over the first 8 years of Pennsylvania's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 302 fewer and the 8 year total of 94,695 fewer individual aged 65-69 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 46,898 / 147,170
The next 15,701 of the 147,170 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 70-74, accounting for 100.00% of the 15,701 total deaths in this group.
This is down 8% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 655,049 elderly men and women aged 70-74, would have predicted 17,082 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 1,381 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 70-74 living in Pennsylvania in 2022.
Overall, 111,876 deaths from All Causes represent 9,988 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 70-74 over the first 8 years of Pennsylvania's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 1,381 fewer and the 8 year total of 111,876 fewer individual aged 70-74 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 62,599 / 147,170
The next 18,069 of the 147,170 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 75-79, accounting for 100.00% of the 18,069 total deaths in this group.
This is down 7% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 466,673 elderly men and women aged 75-79, would have predicted 19,336 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 1,267 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 75-79 living in Pennsylvania in 2022.
Overall, 125,550 deaths from All Causes represent 10,032 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 75-79 over the first 8 years of Pennsylvania's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 1,267 fewer and the 8 year total of 125,550 fewer individual aged 75-79 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 80,668 / 147,170
The next 19,091 of the 147,170 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 80-84, accounting for 100.00% of the 19,091 total deaths in this group.
This is down 5% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 295,807 elderly men and women aged 80-84, would have predicted 20,002 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 911 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 80-84 living in Pennsylvania in 2022.
Overall, 144,402 deaths from All Causes represent 9,719 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 80-84 over the first 8 years of Pennsylvania's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 911 fewer and the 8 year total of 144,402 fewer individual aged 80-84 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 99,759 / 147,170
The next 66,502 of the 147,170 deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 80+, accounting for 100.00% of the 66,502 total deaths in this group.
This is up 10% compared to Old Normal rates which, when applied to this year's population of 295,807 would have predicted 60,591 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 5,911 more deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 80+ living in Pennsylvania in 2022.
Overall, 534,125 deaths from All Causes represent 67,256 lives lost among elderly men and women aged 80+ over the first 8 years of Pennsylvania's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the 8 year total of 534,125 excess individual deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 166,261 / 147,170*
* Pennsylvania does not report the deaths of 19,091 babies in it's death totals
![Graph showing Populalation - Male - Aged 45-49 - [2000-2022] | Pennsylvania, United-states](/wp-content/plugins/dfuc-display/charts/united-states/pennsylvania/2022/all/Both Sexes/45-49-pop.png)
