2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – All Ages | Pennsylvania, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for individuals of all ages in Pennsylvania

1. 147,170 of 147,170 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 11% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 131,955 of 131,955 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 15,215 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 84,530 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 11% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many individuals of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 147,170 of 12,661,607 individuals of all ages living in Pennsylvania died from All Causes.

147,170 ÷ 12,661,607 = 0.01162 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 1,917,752 deaths from All Causes among 184,016,593 individuals of all ages living in Pennsylvania in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

1,917,752 ÷ 184,016,593 = 0.01042 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

12,661,607 X 0.01042 = 131,955 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

147,170 – 131,955 = 15,215

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

147,170 ÷ 131,955 = 1.1142

This reveals 15,215 lives lost and is 111.42% of what we expected (an increase of 11%) in deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in Pennsylvania in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

980,764 ÷ 87,457,486 = 0.01121 (5-yr CDR)

12,661,607(2022 pop) X 0.01121 = 141,990 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

147,170 – 141,990 = 5,180 or 5,180 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

147,170 ÷ 141,990 = 1.0356 or an increase of 4%

for deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in Pennsylvania in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

100,119,093 X 0.01042 = 1,043,404 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1127934 – 1,043,404 = 84,530 or 84,530 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

1,127,934 ÷ 1,043,404 = 1.0800 or an increase of 8%

in deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in Pennsylvania in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.