2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – Ages 75-79 | Texas, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly men aged 75-79 in Texas

1. 15,982 of 15,982 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is down 5% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 16,806 of 16,806 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 824 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 7,108 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are down 5% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men aged 75-79 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 15,982 of 335,908 elderly men aged 75-79 living in Texas died from All Causes.

15,982 ÷ 335,908 = 0.04758 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 150,211 deaths from All Causes among 3,002,369 elderly men aged 75-79 living in Texas in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

150,211 ÷ 3,002,369 = 0.05003 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

335,908 X 0.05003 = 16,806 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

15,982 – 16,806 = -824

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

15,982 ÷ 16,806 = 0.9508

This reveals 824 lives saved and is 95.08% of what we expected (a decrease of 5%) in deaths from All Causes among elderly men aged 75-79 living in Texas in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

91,124 ÷ 1,946,960 = 0.04680 (5-yr CDR)

335,908(2022 pop) X 0.04680 = 15,722 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

15,982 – 15,722 = 260 or 260 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

15,982 ÷ 15,722 = 1.0163 or an increase of 2%

for deaths from All Causes among elderly men aged 75-79 living in Texas in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

2,282,868 X 0.05003 = 114,214 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

107106 – 114,214 = -7,108 or 7,108 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

107,106 ÷ 114,214 = 0.9376 or a decrease of 6%

in deaths from All Causes among elderly men aged 75-79 living in Texas in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.