2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – All Ages | Texas, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for individuals of all ages in Texas

1. 241,433 of 241,433 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 18% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 204,605 of 204,605 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 36,828 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 176,374 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 18% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many individuals of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 241,433 of 29,627,942 individuals of all ages living in Texas died from All Causes.

241,433 ÷ 29,627,942 = 0.00815 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 2,440,469 deaths from All Causes among 353,393,976 individuals of all ages living in Texas in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

2,440,469 ÷ 353,393,976 = 0.00691 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

29,627,942 X 0.00691 = 204,605 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

241,433 – 204,605 = 36,828

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

241,433 ÷ 204,605 = 1.1783

This reveals 36,828 lives lost and is 117.83% of what we expected (an increase of 18%) in deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in Texas in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

1,503,251 ÷ 197,472,315 = 0.00761 (5-yr CDR)

29,627,942(2022 pop) X 0.00761 = 225,542 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

241,433 – 225,542 = 15,891 or 15,891 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

241,433 ÷ 225,542 = 1.0691 or an increase of 7%

for deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in Texas in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

227,100,257 X 0.00691 = 1,568,310 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1744684 – 1,568,310 = 176,374 or 176,374 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

1,744,684 ÷ 1,568,310 = 1.1109 or an increase of 11%

in deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in Texas in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.