2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – All Ages | Texas, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for men of all ages in Texas

1. 129,060 of 129,060 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 23% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 104,691 of 104,691 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 24,369 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 126,131 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 23% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 129,060 of 14,877,406 men of all ages living in Texas died from All Causes.

129,060 ÷ 14,877,406 = 0.00867 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 1,239,738 deaths from All Causes among 176,175,720 men of all ages living in Texas in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

1,239,738 ÷ 176,175,720 = 0.00704 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

14,877,406 X 0.00704 = 104,691 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

129,060 – 104,691 = 24,369

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

129,060 ÷ 104,691 = 1.2310

This reveals 24,369 lives lost and is 123.10% of what we expected (an increase of 23%) in deaths from All Causes among men of all ages living in Texas in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

795,023 ÷ 98,517,376 = 0.00807 (5-yr CDR)

14,877,406(2022 pop) X 0.00807 = 120,059 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

129,060 – 120,059 = 9,001 or 9,001 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

129,060 ÷ 120,059 = 1.0736 or an increase of 7%

for deaths from All Causes among men of all ages living in Texas in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

113,394,782 X 0.00704 = 797,952 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

924083 – 797,952 = 126,131 or 126,131 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

924,083 ÷ 797,952 = 1.1564 or an increase of 16%

in deaths from All Causes among men of all ages living in Texas in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.