Excess Deaths
- References
- Deaths: Data Notes
- Population: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Center for Health Statistics
Quick Links
- There were a total of 69,191 deaths in Washington in 2022
- 240 of all deaths were among those aged 15-19
240 deaths from All Causes were among teens aged 15-19
2022 vs New Normal™ for teens aged 15-19 in Washington
- 240 of 240 total deaths were from All Causes
- 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
- This is up 3% compared to Old Normal rates.
- 228 of 228 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
- 12 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
- 21 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)
- To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 3% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.
Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:
- “How many teens aged 15-19 were there?” and
- “How many of them died from All Causes?”
The following 2 charts provide this information:
Deaths – All Causes – Teen-aged – Aged 15-19 | Washington, United-states
Population – Teen-aged – Aged 15-19 – [2000-2022] | Washington, United-states
From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 240 of 459,601 teens aged 15-19 living in Washington died from All Causes.
240 ÷ 459,601 = 0.00052 (2022 CDR)
The table shows there were a total of 3,327 deaths from All Causes among 6,706,105 teens aged 15-19 living in Washington in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.
3,327 ÷ 6,706,105 = 0.00050 (Old Normal CDR)
We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:
2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths
459,601 X 0.00050 = 228 expected deaths
The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:
240 – 228 = 12
Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:
240 ÷ 228 = 1.0318
This reveals 12 lives lost and is 103.18% of what we expected (an increase of 3%) in deaths from All Causes among teens aged 15-19 living in Washington in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.
This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):
1,562 ÷ 3,131,149 = 0.00050 (5-yr CDR)
459,601(2022 pop) X 0.00050 = 229 expected deaths
The difference between actual and expected deaths:
240 – 229 = 11 or 11 lives lost
Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:
240 ÷ 229 = 1.0262 or an increase of 3%
for deaths from All Causes among teens aged 15-19 living in Washington in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.
Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?
Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:
New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths
3,590,750 X 0.00050 = 1,781 expected deaths
The difference between actual and expected deaths:
1802 – 1,781 = 21 or 21 lives lost
Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:
1,802 ÷ 1,781 = 0.9916 or an increase of 1%
in deaths from All Causes among teens aged 15-19 living in Washington in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.
The world has been led to believe that a deadly pandemic swept the globe beginning in 2020, causing an increase in death rates, especially among the elderly
The data show that death rates began to increase in 2015, immediately upon implementation of the UN’s 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, that young adults have experienced ever-increasing death rates since, and that death rates among the elderly have remained relatively stable.
Return to the top of the page to select another age category.
Deaths/100,000 teen-aged 15-19 from All Causes
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