2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – All Ages | Washington, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for individuals of all ages in Washington

1. 69,191 of 69,191 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 21% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 57,122 of 57,122 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 12,069 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 40,675 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 21% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many individuals of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 69,191 of 7,650,667 individuals of all ages living in Washington died from All Causes.

69,191 ÷ 7,650,667 = 0.00904 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 712,444 deaths from All Causes among 95,422,143 individuals of all ages living in Washington in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

712,444 ÷ 95,422,143 = 0.00747 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

7,650,667 X 0.00747 = 57,122 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

69,191 – 57,122 = 12,069

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

69,191 ÷ 57,122 = 1.2097

This reveals 12,069 lives lost and is 120.97% of what we expected (an increase of 21%) in deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in Washington in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

413,326 ÷ 51,528,003 = 0.00802 (5-yr CDR)

7,650,667(2022 pop) X 0.00802 = 61,369 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

69,191 – 61,369 = 7,822 or 7,822 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

69,191 ÷ 61,369 = 1.1261 or an increase of 13%

for deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in Washington in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

59,178,670 X 0.00747 = 441,842 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

482517 – 441,842 = 40,675 or 40,675 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

482,517 ÷ 441,842 = 1.0906 or an increase of 9%

in deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in Washington in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.