2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Both Sexes – All Ages | Prince Edward Island, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for individuals of all ages in Prince Edward Island

1. 102 of 1,643 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 6.21% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 245% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 28 of 1,462 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 74 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 181 excess All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 184 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 223 excess All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of Prince Edward Island’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 245% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many individuals of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 102 of 167,213 individuals of all ages living in Prince Edward Island died from Unknown Causes.

102 ÷ 167,213 = 0.00061 (2022 CDR)

The table shows there were a total of 350 deaths from Unknown Causes among 2,095,200 individuals of all ages living in Prince Edward Island in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

350 ÷ 2,095,200 = 0.00017 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

167,213 X 0.00017 = 28 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

102 – 28 = 74

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

102 ÷ 28 = 3.4454

This reveals 74 lives lost and is 344.54% of what we expected (an increase of 245%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among individuals of all ages living in Prince Edward Island in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

289 ÷ 1,070,644 = 0.00027 (5-yr CDR)

167,213(2022 pop) X 0.00027 = 45 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

102 – 45 = 57 or 57 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

102 ÷ 45 = 2.1791 or an increase of 118%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among individuals of all ages living in Prince Edward Island in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

1,237,857 X 0.00017 = 207 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

391 – 207 = 184 or 184 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

391 ÷ 207 = 1.7841 or an increase of 78%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among individuals of all ages living in Prince Edward Island in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.