2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – All Ages | Prince Edward Island, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for individuals of all ages in Prince Edward Island

1. 1,643 of 1,643 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 12% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 1,462 of 1,462 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 181 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 223 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 12% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many individuals of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 1,643 of 167,213 individuals of all ages living in Prince Edward Island died from All Causes.

1,643 ÷ 167,213 = 0.00983 (2022 CDR)

The table shows there were a total of 18,314 deaths from All Causes among 2,095,200 individuals of all ages living in Prince Edward Island in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

18,314 ÷ 2,095,200 = 0.00874 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

167,213 X 0.00874 = 1,462 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

1,643 – 1,462 = 181

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

1,643 ÷ 1,462 = 1.1228

This reveals 181 lives lost and is 112.28% of what we expected (an increase of 12%) in deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in Prince Edward Island in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

9,400 ÷ 1,070,644 = 0.00878 (5-yr CDR)

167,213(2022 pop) X 0.00878 = 1,468 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1,643 – 1,468 = 175 or 175 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

1,643 ÷ 1,468 = 1.1179 or an increase of 12%

for deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in Prince Edward Island in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

1,237,857 X 0.00874 = 10,820 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

11043 – 10,820 = 223 or 223 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

11,043 ÷ 10,820 = 1.0194 or an increase of 2%

in deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in Prince Edward Island in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.