2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Male – 60-64 | United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for men aged 60-64 in United States

1. 4,675 of 150,756 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 3.10% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is down 17% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 5,530 of 138,555 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 855 fewer than expected deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 12,201 excess All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 6,163 fewer than expected deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 58,963 excess All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of United States’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are down 17% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men aged 60-64 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 4,675 of 10,297,980 men aged 60-64 living in United States died from Unknown Causes.

4,675 ÷ 10,297,980 = 0.00045 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 56,616 deaths from Unknown Causes among 105,422,132 men aged 60-64 living in United States in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

56,616 ÷ 105,422,132 = 0.00054 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

10,297,980 X 0.00054 = 5,530 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

4,675 – 5,530 = -855

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

4,675 ÷ 5,530 = 0.8299

This reveals 855 lives saved and is 82.99% of what we expected (a decrease of 17%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among men aged 60-64 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

31,151 ÷ 67,887,126 = 0.00046 (5-yr CDR)

10,297,980(2022 pop) X 0.00046 = 4,725 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

4,675 – 4,725 = -50 or 50 lives saved

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

4,675 ÷ 4,725 = 0.9682 or a decrease of 3%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among men aged 60-64 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

78,185,106 X 0.00054 = 41,989 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

35826 – 41,989 = -6,163 or 6,163 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

35,826 ÷ 41,989 = 0.8376 or a decrease of 16%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among men aged 60-64 living in United States in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.