2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 60-64 | United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for people aged 60-64 in United States

1. 249,218 of 249,218 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 9% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 227,975 of 227,975 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 21,243 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 74,601 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 9% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many people aged 60-64 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 249,218 of 21,118,423 people aged 60-64 living in United States died from All Causes.

249,218 ÷ 21,118,423 = 0.01180 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 2,378,520 deaths from All Causes among 220,333,566 people aged 60-64 living in United States in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

2,378,520 ÷ 220,333,566 = 0.01080 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

21,118,423 X 0.01080 = 227,975 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

249,218 – 227,975 = 21,243

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

249,218 ÷ 227,975 = 1.0922

This reveals 21,243 lives lost and is 109.22% of what we expected (an increase of 9%) in deaths from All Causes among people aged 60-64 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

1,580,644 ÷ 141,479,740 = 0.01117 (5-yr CDR)

21,118,423(2022 pop) X 0.01117 = 235,940 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

249,218 – 235,940 = 13,278 or 13,278 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

249,218 ÷ 235,940 = 1.0553 or an increase of 6%

for deaths from All Causes among people aged 60-64 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

162,598,163 X 0.01080 = 1,755,261 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1829862 – 1,755,261 = 74,601 or 74,601 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

1,829,862 ÷ 1,755,261 = 1.0415 or an increase of 4%

in deaths from All Causes among people aged 60-64 living in United States in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.