2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Both Sexes – All Ages | Texas, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for individuals of all ages in Texas

1. 38,303 of 241,433 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 15.86% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 1% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 38,292 of 204,605 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 11 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 36,828 excess All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 12,394 fewer than expected deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 176,374 excess All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of Texas’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 1% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many individuals of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 38,303 of 29,627,942 individuals of all ages living in Texas died from Unknown Causes.

38,303 ÷ 29,627,942 = 0.00129 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 456,732 deaths from Unknown Causes among 353,393,976 individuals of all ages living in Texas in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

456,732 ÷ 353,393,976 = 0.00129 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

29,627,942 X 0.00129 = 38,292 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

38,303 – 38,292 = 11

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

38,303 ÷ 38,292 = 0.9926

This reveals 11 lives lost and is 99.26% of what we expected (an increase of 1%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among individuals of all ages living in Texas in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

242,811 ÷ 197,472,315 = 0.00123 (5-yr CDR)

29,627,942(2022 pop) X 0.00123 = 36,430 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

38,303 – 36,430 = 1,873 or 1,873 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

38,303 ÷ 36,430 = 1.0429 or an increase of 4%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among individuals of all ages living in Texas in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

227,100,257 X 0.00129 = 293,508 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

281114 – 293,508 = -12,394 or 12,394 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

281,114 ÷ 293,508 = 0.9504 or a decrease of 5%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among individuals of all ages living in Texas in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.