2022 Deaths – All Causes – Female – Under 1 | New York, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for baby girls in their first year of life in New York

1. 401 of 401 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is down 26% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 538 of 538 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 137 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 1,089 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are down 26% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many baby girls in their first year of life were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 401 of 104,681 baby girls in their first year of life living in New York died from All Causes.

401 ÷ 104,681 = 0.00383 (2022 CDR)

The table shows there were a total of 9,076 deaths from All Causes among 1,766,522 baby girls in their first year of life living in New York in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

9,076 ÷ 1,766,522 = 0.00514 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

104,681 X 0.00514 = 538 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

401 – 538 = -137

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

401 ÷ 538 = 0.7441

This reveals 137 lives saved and is 74.41% of what we expected (a decrease of 26%) in deaths from All Causes among baby girls in their first year of life living in New York in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

3,043 ÷ 777,702 = 0.00391 (5-yr CDR)

104,681(2022 pop) X 0.00391 = 410 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

401 – 410 = -9 or 9 lives saved

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

401 ÷ 410 = 0.9765 or a decrease of 2%

for deaths from All Causes among baby girls in their first year of life living in New York in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

882,383 X 0.00514 = 4,533 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

3444 – 4,533 = -1,089 or 1,089 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

3,444 ÷ 4,533 = 0.7582 or a decrease of 24%

in deaths from All Causes among baby girls in their first year of life living in New York in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.