2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – All Ages | New York, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for individuals of all ages in New York

1. 173,938 of 173,938 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 13% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 153,988 of 153,988 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 19,950 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 104,405 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 13% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many individuals of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 173,938 of 19,219,967 individuals of all ages living in New York died from All Causes.

173,938 ÷ 19,219,967 = 0.00905 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 2,273,419 deaths from All Causes among 283,755,245 individuals of all ages living in New York in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

2,273,419 ÷ 283,755,245 = 0.00801 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

19,219,967 X 0.00801 = 153,988 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

173,938 – 153,988 = 19,950

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

173,938 ÷ 153,988 = 1.1281

This reveals 19,950 lives lost and is 112.81% of what we expected (an increase of 13%) in deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in New York in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

1,161,457 ÷ 134,425,179 = 0.00864 (5-yr CDR)

19,219,967(2022 pop) X 0.00864 = 166,064 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

173,938 – 166,064 = 7,874 or 7,874 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

173,938 ÷ 166,064 = 1.0462 or an increase of 5%

for deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in New York in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

153,645,146 X 0.00801 = 1,230,990 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1335395 – 1,230,990 = 104,405 or 104,405 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

1,335,395 ÷ 1,230,990 = 1.0835 or an increase of 8%

in deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in New York in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.