2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 40-44 | Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for people aged 40-44 in Canada

1. 914 of 4,094 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 22.33% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 519% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 122 of 3,428 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 792 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 666 excess All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 1,778 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 584 excess All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of Canada’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 519% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many people aged 40-44 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 914 of 2,573,624 people aged 40-44 living in Canada died from Unknown Causes.

914 ÷ 2,573,624 = 0.00036 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 1,824 deaths from Unknown Causes among 38,467,725 people aged 40-44 living in Canada in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

1,824 ÷ 38,467,725 = 0.00005 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

2,573,624 X 0.00005 = 122 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

914 – 122 = 792

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

914 ÷ 122 = 6.1854

This reveals 792 lives lost and is 618.54% of what we expected (an increase of 519%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 40-44 living in Canada in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

1,784 ÷ 16,819,251 = 0.00011 (5-yr CDR)

2,573,624(2022 pop) X 0.00011 = 273 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

914 – 273 = 641 or 641 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

914 ÷ 273 = 3.0597 or an increase of 206%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 40-44 living in Canada in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

19,392,875 X 0.00005 = 920 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

2698 – 920 = 1,778 or 1,778 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

2,698 ÷ 920 = 2.4231 or an increase of 142%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 40-44 living in Canada in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.