2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – 25-29 | British Columbia, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for people aged 25-29 in British Columbia

1. 336 of 336 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 39% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 239 of 239 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 97 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 663 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 39% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many people aged 25-29 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 336 of 372,791 people aged 25-29 living in British Columbia died from All Causes.

336 ÷ 372,791 = 0.00090 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 2,797 deaths from All Causes among 4,365,942 people aged 25-29 living in British Columbia in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

2,797 ÷ 4,365,942 = 0.00064 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

372,791 X 0.00064 = 239 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

336 – 239 = 97

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

336 ÷ 239 = 1.3853

This reveals 97 lives lost and is 138.53% of what we expected (an increase of 39%) in deaths from All Causes among people aged 25-29 living in British Columbia in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

2,138 ÷ 2,453,676 = 0.00087 (5-yr CDR)

372,791(2022 pop) X 0.00087 = 325 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

336 – 325 = 11 or 11 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

336 ÷ 325 = 1.0227 or an increase of 2%

for deaths from All Causes among people aged 25-29 living in British Columbia in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

2,826,467 X 0.00064 = 1,811 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

2474 – 1,811 = 663 or 663 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

2,474 ÷ 1,811 = 1.3453 or an increase of 35%

in deaths from All Causes among people aged 25-29 living in British Columbia in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.