2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 60-64 | British Columbia, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for people aged 60-64 in British Columbia

1. 2,638 of 2,638 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is down 5% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 2,761 of 2,761 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 123 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 1,648 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are down 5% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many people aged 60-64 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 2,638 of 368,533 people aged 60-64 living in British Columbia died from All Causes.

2,638 ÷ 368,533 = 0.00716 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 26,516 deaths from All Causes among 3,539,232 people aged 60-64 living in British Columbia in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

26,516 ÷ 3,539,232 = 0.00749 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

368,533 X 0.00749 = 2,761 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

2,638 – 2,761 = -123

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

2,638 ÷ 2,761 = 0.9542

This reveals 123 lives saved and is 95.42% of what we expected (a decrease of 5%) in deaths from All Causes among people aged 60-64 living in British Columbia in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

16,578 ÷ 2,416,290 = 0.00686 (5-yr CDR)

368,533(2022 pop) X 0.00686 = 2,528 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

2,638 – 2,528 = 110 or 110 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

2,638 ÷ 2,528 = 1.0418 or an increase of 4%

for deaths from All Causes among people aged 60-64 living in British Columbia in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

2,784,823 X 0.00749 = 20,864 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

19216 – 20,864 = -1,648 or 1,648 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

19,216 ÷ 20,864 = 0.9198 or a decrease of 8%

in deaths from All Causes among people aged 60-64 living in British Columbia in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.