2022 Deaths – All Causes – Female – Ages 75-79 | British Columbia, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly women aged 75-79 in British Columbia

1. 2,192 of 2,192 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is down 22% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 2,815 of 2,815 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 623 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 3,440 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are down 22% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly women aged 75-79 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 2,192 of 104,552 elderly women aged 75-79 living in British Columbia died from All Causes.

2,192 ÷ 104,552 = 0.02097 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 26,393 deaths from All Causes among 980,265 elderly women aged 75-79 living in British Columbia in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

26,393 ÷ 980,265 = 0.02692 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

104,552 X 0.02692 = 2,815 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

2,192 – 2,815 = -623

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

2,192 ÷ 2,815 = 0.7784

This reveals 623 lives saved and is 77.84% of what we expected (a decrease of 22%) in deaths from All Causes among elderly women aged 75-79 living in British Columbia in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

12,845 ÷ 581,715 = 0.02208 (5-yr CDR)

104,552(2022 pop) X 0.02208 = 2,309 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

2,192 – 2,309 = -117 or 117 lives saved

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

2,192 ÷ 2,309 = 0.9490 or a decrease of 5%

for deaths from All Causes among elderly women aged 75-79 living in British Columbia in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

686,267 X 0.02692 = 18,477 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

15037 – 18,477 = -3,440 or 3,440 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

15,037 ÷ 18,477 = 0.8135 or a decrease of 19%

in deaths from All Causes among elderly women aged 75-79 living in British Columbia in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.