2022 Deaths – All Causes – Female – All Ages | British Columbia, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for women of all ages in British Columbia

1. 21,154 of 21,154 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 15% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 18,381 of 18,381 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 2,773 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 7,969 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 15% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many women of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 21,154 of 2,690,744 women of all ages living in British Columbia died from All Causes.

21,154 ÷ 2,690,744 = 0.00786 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 223,210 deaths from All Causes among 32,675,675 women of all ages living in British Columbia in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

223,210 ÷ 32,675,675 = 0.00683 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

2,690,744 X 0.00683 = 18,381 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

21,154 – 18,381 = 2,773

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

21,154 ÷ 18,381 = 1.1492

This reveals 2,773 lives lost and is 114.92% of what we expected (an increase of 15%) in deaths from All Causes among women of all ages living in British Columbia in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

126,064 ÷ 17,693,874 = 0.00712 (5-yr CDR)

2,690,744(2022 pop) X 0.00712 = 19,171 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

21,154 – 19,171 = 1,983 or 1,983 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

21,154 ÷ 19,171 = 1.1019 or an increase of 10%

for deaths from All Causes among women of all ages living in British Columbia in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

20,384,618 X 0.00683 = 139,249 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

147218 – 139,249 = 7,969 or 7,969 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

147,218 ÷ 139,249 = 1.0557 or an increase of 6%

in deaths from All Causes among women of all ages living in British Columbia in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.