2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – 35-39 | British Columbia, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for men aged 35-39 in British Columbia

1. 316 of 316 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 18% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 265 of 265 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 51 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 309 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 18% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men aged 35-39 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 316 of 195,575 men aged 35-39 living in British Columbia died from All Causes.

316 ÷ 195,575 = 0.00162 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 3,135 deaths from All Causes among 2,312,336 men aged 35-39 living in British Columbia in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

3,135 ÷ 2,312,336 = 0.00136 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

195,575 X 0.00136 = 265 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

316 – 265 = 51

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

316 ÷ 265 = 1.1830

This reveals 51 lives lost and is 118.30% of what we expected (an increase of 18%) in deaths from All Causes among men aged 35-39 living in British Columbia in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

1,862 ÷ 1,182,806 = 0.00157 (5-yr CDR)

195,575(2022 pop) X 0.00157 = 308 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

316 – 308 = 8 or 8 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

316 ÷ 308 = 1.0199 or an increase of 2%

for deaths from All Causes among men aged 35-39 living in British Columbia in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

1,378,381 X 0.00136 = 1,869 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

2178 – 1,869 = 309 or 309 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

2,178 ÷ 1,869 = 1.1569 or an increase of 16%

in deaths from All Causes among men aged 35-39 living in British Columbia in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.