2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – All Ages | British Columbia, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for men of all ages in British Columbia

1. 24,226 of 24,226 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 26% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 19,275 of 19,275 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 4,951 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 19,112 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 26% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 24,226 of 2,628,580 men of all ages living in British Columbia died from All Causes.

24,226 ÷ 2,628,580 = 0.00922 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 235,977 deaths from All Causes among 32,181,483 men of all ages living in British Columbia in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

235,977 ÷ 32,181,483 = 0.00733 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

2,628,580 X 0.00733 = 19,275 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

24,226 – 19,275 = 4,951

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

24,226 ÷ 19,275 = 1.2552

This reveals 4,951 lives lost and is 125.52% of what we expected (an increase of 26%) in deaths from All Causes among men of all ages living in British Columbia in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

141,268 ÷ 17,334,293 = 0.00815 (5-yr CDR)

2,628,580(2022 pop) X 0.00815 = 21,422 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

24,226 – 21,422 = 2,804 or 2,804 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

24,226 ÷ 21,422 = 1.1295 or an increase of 13%

for deaths from All Causes among men of all ages living in British Columbia in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

19,962,873 X 0.00733 = 146,382 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

165494 – 146,382 = 19,112 or 19,112 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

165,494 ÷ 146,382 = 1.1290 or an increase of 13%

in deaths from All Causes among men of all ages living in British Columbia in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.