2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 75-79 | British Columbia, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly men and women aged 75-79 in British Columbia

1. 203 of 5,153 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 3.94% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 149% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 80 of 6,593 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 123 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 1,440 fewer than expected All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 230 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 8,536 fewer than expected All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of British Columbia’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 149% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men and women aged 75-79 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 203 of 199,295 elderly men and women aged 75-79 living in British Columbia died from Unknown Causes.

203 ÷ 199,295 = 0.00102 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 729 deaths from Unknown Causes among 1,823,237 elderly men and women aged 75-79 living in British Columbia in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

729 ÷ 1,823,237 = 0.00040 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

199,295 X 0.00040 = 80 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

203 – 80 = 123

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

203 ÷ 80 = 2.4853

This reveals 123 lives lost and is 248.53% of what we expected (an increase of 149%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men and women aged 75-79 living in British Columbia in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

551 ÷ 1,111,610 = 0.00050 (5-yr CDR)

199,295(2022 pop) X 0.00050 = 99 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

203 – 99 = 104 or 104 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

203 ÷ 99 = 2.0143 or an increase of 101%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men and women aged 75-79 living in British Columbia in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

1,310,905 X 0.00040 = 524 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

754 – 524 = 230 or 230 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

754 ÷ 524 = 1.4034 or an increase of 40%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men and women aged 75-79 living in British Columbia in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.