2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Male – Ages 40-44 | British Columbia, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for men aged 40-44 in British Columbia

1. 78 of 325 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 24.00% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 449% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 12 of 319 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 66 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 6 excess All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 163 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 53 excess All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of British Columbia’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 449% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men aged 40-44 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 78 of 172,516 men aged 40-44 living in British Columbia died from Unknown Causes.

78 ÷ 172,516 = 0.00045 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 181 deaths from Unknown Causes among 2,501,404 men aged 40-44 living in British Columbia in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

181 ÷ 2,501,404 = 0.00007 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

172,516 X 0.00007 = 12 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

78 – 12 = 66

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

78 ÷ 12 = 5.4897

This reveals 66 lives lost and is 548.97% of what we expected (an increase of 449%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among men aged 40-44 living in British Columbia in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

176 ÷ 1,087,570 = 0.00016 (5-yr CDR)

172,516(2022 pop) X 0.00016 = 28 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

78 – 28 = 50 or 50 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

78 ÷ 28 = 2.6313 or an increase of 163%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among men aged 40-44 living in British Columbia in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

1,260,086 X 0.00007 = 91 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

254 – 91 = 163 or 163 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

254 ÷ 91 = 2.4475 or an increase of 145%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among men aged 40-44 living in British Columbia in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.