2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 80-84 | Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly men and women aged 80-84 in Canada

1. 45,616 of 45,616 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is down 11% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 51,502 of 51,502 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 5,886 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 49,276 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are down 11% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men and women aged 80-84 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 45,616 of 878,761 elderly men and women aged 80-84 living in Canada died from All Causes.

45,616 ÷ 878,761 = 0.05191 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 561,311 deaths from All Causes among 9,577,387 elderly men and women aged 80-84 living in Canada in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

561,311 ÷ 9,577,387 = 0.05861 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

878,761 X 0.05861 = 51,502 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

45,616 – 51,502 = -5,886

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

45,616 ÷ 51,502 = 0.8856

This reveals 5,886 lives saved and is 88.56% of what we expected (a decrease of 11%) in deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 80-84 living in Canada in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

275,425 ÷ 5,439,781 = 0.05063 (5-yr CDR)

878,761(2022 pop) X 0.05063 = 44,493 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

45,616 – 44,493 = 1,123 or 1,123 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

45,616 ÷ 44,493 = 1.0250 or an increase of 3%

for deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 80-84 living in Canada in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

6,318,542 X 0.05861 = 370,317 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

321041 – 370,317 = -49,276 or 49,276 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

321,041 ÷ 370,317 = 0.8668 or a decrease of 13%

in deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 80-84 living in Canada in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.