2022 Deaths – All Causes – Female – 20-24 | Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for women aged 20-24 in Canada

1. 535 of 535 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 37% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 378 of 378 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 157 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 547 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 37% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many women aged 20-24 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 535 of 1,207,178 women aged 20-24 living in Canada died from All Causes.

535 ÷ 1,207,178 = 0.00044 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 5,187 deaths from All Causes among 16,578,032 women aged 20-24 living in Canada in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

5,187 ÷ 16,578,032 = 0.00031 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

1,207,178 X 0.00031 = 378 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

535 – 378 = 157

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

535 ÷ 378 = 1.3726

This reveals 157 lives lost and is 137.26% of what we expected (an increase of 37%) in deaths from All Causes among women aged 20-24 living in Canada in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

2,941 ÷ 8,154,486 = 0.00036 (5-yr CDR)

1,207,178(2022 pop) X 0.00036 = 435 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

535 – 435 = 100 or 100 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

535 ÷ 435 = 1.1957 or an increase of 20%

for deaths from All Causes among women aged 20-24 living in Canada in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

9,361,664 X 0.00031 = 2,929 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

3476 – 2,929 = 547 or 547 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

3,476 ÷ 2,929 = 1.1500 or an increase of 15%

in deaths from All Causes among women aged 20-24 living in Canada in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.