2022 Deaths – All Causes – Female – 30-34 | Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for women aged 30-34 in Canada

1. 932 of 932 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 49% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 610 of 610 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 322 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 1,180 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 49% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many women aged 30-34 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 932 of 1,365,551 women aged 30-34 living in Canada died from All Causes.

932 ÷ 1,365,551 = 0.00068 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 7,564 deaths from All Causes among 16,923,329 women aged 30-34 living in Canada in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

7,564 ÷ 16,923,329 = 0.00045 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

1,365,551 X 0.00045 = 610 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

932 – 610 = 322

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

932 ÷ 610 = 1.4936

This reveals 322 lives lost and is 149.36% of what we expected (an increase of 49%) in deaths from All Causes among women aged 30-34 living in Canada in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

4,838 ÷ 8,903,178 = 0.00054 (5-yr CDR)

1,365,551(2022 pop) X 0.00054 = 742 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

932 – 742 = 190 or 190 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

932 ÷ 742 = 1.2333 or an increase of 23%

for deaths from All Causes among women aged 30-34 living in Canada in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

10,268,729 X 0.00045 = 4,590 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

5770 – 4,590 = 1,180 or 1,180 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

5,770 ÷ 4,590 = 1.2297 or an increase of 23%

in deaths from All Causes among women aged 30-34 living in Canada in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.