2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – 55-59 | Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for men aged 55-59 in Canada

1. 8,031 of 8,031 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is down 4% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 8,390 of 8,390 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 359 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 6,275 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are down 4% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men aged 55-59 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 8,031 of 1,308,415 men aged 55-59 living in Canada died from All Causes.

8,031 ÷ 1,308,415 = 0.00614 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 100,142 deaths from All Causes among 15,617,361 men aged 55-59 living in Canada in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

100,142 ÷ 15,617,361 = 0.00641 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

1,308,415 X 0.00641 = 8,390 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

8,031 – 8,390 = -359

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

8,031 ÷ 8,390 = 0.9557

This reveals 359 lives saved and is 95.57% of what we expected (a decrease of 4%) in deaths from All Causes among men aged 55-59 living in Canada in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

54,338 ÷ 9,396,778 = 0.00578 (5-yr CDR)

1,308,415(2022 pop) X 0.00578 = 7,566 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

8,031 – 7,566 = 465 or 465 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

8,031 ÷ 7,566 = 1.0596 or an increase of 6%

for deaths from All Causes among men aged 55-59 living in Canada in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

10,705,193 X 0.00641 = 68,644 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

62369 – 68,644 = -6,275 or 6,275 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

62,369 ÷ 68,644 = 0.9072 or a decrease of 9%

in deaths from All Causes among men aged 55-59 living in Canada in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.