2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 45-49 | Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for people aged 45-49 in Canada

1. 864 of 5,165 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 16.73% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 412% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 145 of 5,074 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 719 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 91 excess All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 1,820 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 3,187 fewer than expected All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of Canada’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 412% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many people aged 45-49 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 864 of 2,405,593 people aged 45-49 living in Canada died from Unknown Causes.

864 ÷ 2,405,593 = 0.00036 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 2,346 deaths from Unknown Causes among 39,033,337 people aged 45-49 living in Canada in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

2,346 ÷ 39,033,337 = 0.00006 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

2,405,593 X 0.00006 = 145 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

864 – 145 = 719

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

864 ÷ 145 = 5.1234

This reveals 719 lives lost and is 512.34% of what we expected (an increase of 412%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 45-49 living in Canada in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

2,115 ÷ 16,873,848 = 0.00013 (5-yr CDR)

2,405,593(2022 pop) X 0.00013 = 302 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

864 – 302 = 562 or 562 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

864 ÷ 302 = 2.6537 or an increase of 165%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 45-49 living in Canada in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

19,279,441 X 0.00006 = 1,159 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

2979 – 1,159 = 1,820 or 1,820 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

2,979 ÷ 1,159 = 2.2042 or an increase of 120%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 45-49 living in Canada in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.