2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 55-59 | Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for people aged 55-59 in Canada

1. 1,244 of 12,853 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 9.68% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 440% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 204 of 13,754 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 1,040 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 901 fewer than expected All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 2,770 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 10,348 fewer than expected All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of Canada’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 440% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many people aged 55-59 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 1,244 of 2,635,125 people aged 55-59 living in Canada died from Unknown Causes.

1,244 ÷ 2,635,125 = 0.00047 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 2,434 deaths from Unknown Causes among 31,444,004 people aged 55-59 living in Canada in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

2,434 ÷ 31,444,004 = 0.00008 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

2,635,125 X 0.00008 = 204 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

1,244 – 204 = 1,040

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

1,244 ÷ 204 = 5.4010

This reveals 1,040 lives lost and is 540.10% of what we expected (an increase of 440%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 55-59 living in Canada in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

3,193 ÷ 18,900,875 = 0.00017 (5-yr CDR)

2,635,125(2022 pop) X 0.00017 = 445 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1,244 – 445 = 799 or 799 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

1,244 ÷ 445 = 2.6383 or an increase of 164%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 55-59 living in Canada in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

21,536,000 X 0.00008 = 1,667 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

4437 – 1,667 = 2,770 or 2,770 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

4,437 ÷ 1,667 = 2.3571 or an increase of 136%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 55-59 living in Canada in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.