2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Female – 80-84 | Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly women aged 80-84 in Canada

1. 826 of 21,399 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 3.86% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 85% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 442 of 23,823 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 384 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 2,424 fewer than expected All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 635 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 21,214 fewer than expected All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of Canada’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 85% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly women aged 80-84 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 826 of 487,587 elderly women aged 80-84 living in Canada died from Unknown Causes.

826 ÷ 487,587 = 0.00169 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 5,215 deaths from Unknown Causes among 5,752,063 elderly women aged 80-84 living in Canada in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

5,215 ÷ 5,752,063 = 0.00091 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

487,587 X 0.00091 = 442 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

826 – 442 = 384

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

826 ÷ 442 = 1.8481

This reveals 384 lives lost and is 184.81% of what we expected (an increase of 85%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly women aged 80-84 living in Canada in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

3,016 ÷ 3,049,505 = 0.00099 (5-yr CDR)

487,587(2022 pop) X 0.00099 = 482 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

826 – 482 = 344 or 344 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

826 ÷ 482 = 1.6957 or an increase of 70%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly women aged 80-84 living in Canada in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

3,537,092 X 0.00091 = 3,207 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

3842 – 3,207 = 635 or 635 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

3,842 ÷ 3,207 = 1.1850 or an increase of 18%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly women aged 80-84 living in Canada in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.