2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Male – 30-34 | Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for men aged 30-34 in Canada

1. 568 of 1,975 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 28.76% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 671% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 59 of 1,245 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 509 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 730 excess All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 1,386 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 3,274 excess All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of Canada’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 671% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men aged 30-34 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 568 of 1,417,447 men aged 30-34 living in Canada died from Unknown Causes.

568 ÷ 1,417,447 = 0.00040 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 715 deaths from Unknown Causes among 17,037,061 men aged 30-34 living in Canada in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

715 ÷ 17,037,061 = 0.00004 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

1,417,447 X 0.00004 = 59 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

568 – 59 = 509

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

568 ÷ 59 = 7.7110

This reveals 509 lives lost and is 771.10% of what we expected (an increase of 671%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among men aged 30-34 living in Canada in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

1,258 ÷ 9,074,264 = 0.00014 (5-yr CDR)

1,417,447(2022 pop) X 0.00014 = 197 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

568 – 197 = 371 or 371 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

568 ÷ 197 = 2.6960 or an increase of 170%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among men aged 30-34 living in Canada in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

10,491,711 X 0.00004 = 440 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1826 – 440 = 1,386 or 1,386 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

1,826 ÷ 440 = 3.3491 or an increase of 235%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among men aged 30-34 living in Canada in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.