2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Male – 70-74 | Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly men aged 70-74 in Canada

1. 896 of 20,105 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 4.46% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 267% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 235 of 23,802 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 661 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 3,697 fewer than expected All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 1,418 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 31,236 fewer than expected All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of Canada’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 267% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men aged 70-74 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 896 of 897,586 elderly men aged 70-74 living in Canada died from Unknown Causes.

896 ÷ 897,586 = 0.00100 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 2,020 deaths from Unknown Causes among 7,700,958 elderly men aged 70-74 living in Canada in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

2,020 ÷ 7,700,958 = 0.00026 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

897,586 X 0.00026 = 235 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

896 – 235 = 661

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

896 ÷ 235 = 3.6659

This reveals 661 lives lost and is 366.59% of what we expected (an increase of 267%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men aged 70-74 living in Canada in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

2,176 ÷ 5,407,393 = 0.00040 (5-yr CDR)

897,586(2022 pop) X 0.00040 = 361 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

896 – 361 = 535 or 535 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

896 ÷ 361 = 2.4205 or an increase of 142%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men aged 70-74 living in Canada in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

6,304,979 X 0.00026 = 1,654 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

3072 – 1,654 = 1,418 or 1,418 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

3,072 ÷ 1,654 = 1.7893 or an increase of 79%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men aged 70-74 living in Canada in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.