2023 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 0-4 | Canada

2023 vs New Normal™ for pre-schoolers aged 0-4 in Canada

1. 1,954 of 1,954 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is down 12% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 2,202 of 2,202 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 248 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes in 2023.
6. 2,582 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2023)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are down 12% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2023 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many pre-schoolers aged 0-4 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2023, 1,954 of 1,881,497 pre-schoolers aged 0-4 living in Canada died from All Causes.

1,954 ÷ 1,881,497 = 0.00104 (2023 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 31,635 deaths from All Causes among 27,034,477 pre-schoolers aged 0-4 living in Canada in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

31,635 ÷ 27,034,477 = 0.00117 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2023 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

1,881,497 X 0.00117 = 2,202 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

1,954 – 2,202 = -248

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

1,954 ÷ 2,202 = 0.8800

This reveals 248 lives saved and is 88.00% of what we expected (a decrease of 12%) in deaths from All Causes among pre-schoolers aged 0-4 living in Canada in 2023, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

15,653 ÷ 15,371,818 = 0.00102 (5-yr CDR)

1,881,497(2023 pop) X 0.00102 = 1,916 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1,954 – 1,916 = 38 or 38 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

1,954 ÷ 1,916 = 1.0100 or an increase of 1%

for deaths from All Causes among pre-schoolers aged 0-4 living in Canada in 2023, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

17,253,315 X 0.00117 = 20,189 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

17607 – 20,189 = -2,582 or 2,582 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

17,607 ÷ 20,189 = 0.8647 or a decrease of 14%

in deaths from All Causes among pre-schoolers aged 0-4 living in Canada in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.