2023 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 65-69 | Canada

2023 vs New Normal™ for elderly men and women aged 65-69 in Canada

1. 26,580 of 26,580 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is down 14% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 31,003 of 31,003 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 4,423 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes in 2023.
6. 33,679 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2023)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are down 14% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2023 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men and women aged 65-69 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2023, 26,580 of 2,381,063 elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Canada died from All Causes.

26,580 ÷ 2,381,063 = 0.01116 (2023 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 265,793 deaths from All Causes among 20,413,091 elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Canada in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

265,793 ÷ 20,413,091 = 0.01302 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2023 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

2,381,063 X 0.01302 = 31,003 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

26,580 – 31,003 = -4,423

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

26,580 ÷ 31,003 = 0.8567

This reveals 4,423 lives saved and is 85.67% of what we expected (a decrease of 14%) in deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Canada in 2023, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

188,331 ÷ 16,710,810 = 0.01127 (5-yr CDR)

2,381,063(2023 pop) X 0.01127 = 26,835 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

26,580 – 26,835 = -255 or 255 lives saved

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

26,580 ÷ 26,835 = 0.9896 or a decrease of 1%

for deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Canada in 2023, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

19,091,873 X 0.01302 = 248,590 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

214911 – 248,590 = -33,679 or 33,679 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

214,911 ÷ 248,590 = 0.8639 or a decrease of 14%

in deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Canada in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.