2023 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 80-84 | Canada

2023 vs New Normal™ for elderly men and women aged 80-84 in Canada

1. 45,094 of 45,094 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is down 16% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 53,826 of 53,826 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 8,732 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes in 2023.
6. 58,008 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2023)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are down 16% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2023 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men and women aged 80-84 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2023, 45,094 of 918,411 elderly men and women aged 80-84 living in Canada died from All Causes.

45,094 ÷ 918,411 = 0.04910 (2023 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 561,311 deaths from All Causes among 9,577,387 elderly men and women aged 80-84 living in Canada in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

561,311 ÷ 9,577,387 = 0.05861 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2023 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

918,411 X 0.05861 = 53,826 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

45,094 – 53,826 = -8,732

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

45,094 ÷ 53,826 = 0.8376

This reveals 8,732 lives saved and is 83.76% of what we expected (a decrease of 16%) in deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 80-84 living in Canada in 2023, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

321,041 ÷ 6,318,542 = 0.05081 (5-yr CDR)

918,411(2023 pop) X 0.05081 = 46,664 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

45,094 – 46,664 = -1,570 or 1,570 lives saved

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

45,094 ÷ 46,664 = 0.9662 or a decrease of 3%

for deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 80-84 living in Canada in 2023, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

7,236,953 X 0.05861 = 424,143 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

366135 – 424,143 = -58,008 or 58,008 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

366,135 ÷ 424,143 = 0.8631 or a decrease of 14%

in deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 80-84 living in Canada in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.