2023 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 90+ | Canada

2023 vs New Normal™ for elderly men and women aged 90+ in Canada

1. 69,187 of 69,187 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is down 3% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 71,424 of 71,424 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 2,237 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes in 2023.
6. 15,832 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2023)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are down 3% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2023 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men and women aged 90+ were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2023, 69,187 of 355,978 elderly men and women aged 90+ living in Canada died from All Causes.

69,187 ÷ 355,978 = 0.19436 (2023 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 559,911 deaths from All Causes among 2,790,604 elderly men and women aged 90+ living in Canada in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

559,911 ÷ 2,790,604 = 0.20064 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2023 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

355,978 X 0.20064 = 71,424 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

69,187 – 71,424 = -2,237

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

69,187 ÷ 71,424 = 0.9686

This reveals 2,237 lives saved and is 96.86% of what we expected (a decrease of 3%) in deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 90+ living in Canada in 2023, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

489,452 ÷ 2,507,193 = 0.19522 (5-yr CDR)

355,978(2023 pop) X 0.19522 = 69,494 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

69,187 – 69,494 = -307 or 307 lives saved

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

69,187 ÷ 69,494 = 0.9955 or a decrease of 0%

for deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 90+ living in Canada in 2023, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

2,863,171 X 0.20064 = 574,471 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

558639 – 574,471 = -15,832 or 15,832 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

558,639 ÷ 574,471 = 0.9724 or a decrease of 3%

in deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 90+ living in Canada in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.