2023 Deaths – All Causes – Male – Ages 10-14 | Canada

2023 vs New Normal™ for boys aged 10-14 in Canada

1. 145 of 145 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 99.99% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is down 17% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 163 of 163 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 18 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes in 2023.
6. 218 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2023)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are down 17% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2023 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many boys aged 10-14 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2023, 145 of 1,124,726 boys aged 10-14 living in Canada died from All Causes.

145 ÷ 1,124,726 = 0.00013 (2023 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 2,263 deaths from All Causes among 15,585,579 boys aged 10-14 living in Canada in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

2,263 ÷ 15,585,579 = 0.00015 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2023 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

1,124,726 X 0.00015 = 163 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

145 – 163 = -18

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

145 ÷ 163 = 0.8307

This reveals 18 lives saved and is 83.07% of what we expected (a decrease of 17%) in deaths from All Causes among boys aged 10-14 living in Canada in 2023, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

990 ÷ 8,196,443 = 0.00012 (5-yr CDR)

1,124,726(2023 pop) X 0.00012 = 136 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

145 – 136 = 9 or 9 lives saved

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

145 ÷ 136 = 0.9857 or a decrease of 1%

for deaths from All Causes among boys aged 10-14 living in Canada in 2023, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

9,321,169 X 0.00015 = 1,353 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1135 – 1,353 = -218 or 218 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

1,135 ÷ 1,353 = 0.7846 or a decrease of 22%

in deaths from All Causes among boys aged 10-14 living in Canada in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.