2023 Deaths – All Causes – Male – Ages 20-24 | Canada

2023 vs New Normal™ for men aged 20-24 in Canada

1. 991 of 991 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is down 10% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 1,087 of 1,087 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 96 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes in 2023.
6. 174 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2023)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are down 10% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2023 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men aged 20-24 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2023, 991 of 1,366,446 men aged 20-24 living in Canada died from All Causes.

991 ÷ 1,366,446 = 0.00073 (2023 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 13,782 deaths from All Causes among 17,332,503 men aged 20-24 living in Canada in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

13,782 ÷ 17,332,503 = 0.00080 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2023 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

1,366,446 X 0.00080 = 1,087 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

991 – 1,087 = -96

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

991 ÷ 1,087 = 0.9007

This reveals 96 lives saved and is 90.07% of what we expected (a decrease of 10%) in deaths from All Causes among men aged 20-24 living in Canada in 2023, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

8,021 ÷ 10,185,941 = 0.00079 (5-yr CDR)

1,366,446(2023 pop) X 0.00079 = 1,076 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

991 – 1,076 = -85 or 85 lives saved

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

991 ÷ 1,076 = 0.9094 or a decrease of 9%

for deaths from All Causes among men aged 20-24 living in Canada in 2023, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

11,552,387 X 0.00080 = 9,186 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

9012 – 9,186 = -174 or 174 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

9,012 ÷ 9,186 = 0.9689 or a decrease of 3%

in deaths from All Causes among men aged 20-24 living in Canada in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.