2023 Deaths – All Causes – Male – Ages 25-29 | Canada

2023 vs New Normal™ for men aged 25-29 in Canada

1. 1,603 of 1,603 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 32% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 1,198 of 1,198 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 405 excess deaths from All Causes in 2023.
6. 2,904 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2023)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 32% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2023 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men aged 25-29 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2023, 1,603 of 1,515,980 men aged 25-29 living in Canada died from All Causes.

1,603 ÷ 1,515,980 = 0.00106 (2023 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 13,368 deaths from All Causes among 16,919,940 men aged 25-29 living in Canada in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

13,368 ÷ 16,919,940 = 0.00079 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2023 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

1,515,980 X 0.00079 = 1,198 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

1,603 – 1,198 = 405

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

1,603 ÷ 1,198 = 1.3216

This reveals 405 lives lost and is 132.16% of what we expected (an increase of 32%) in deaths from All Causes among men aged 25-29 living in Canada in 2023, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

10,879 ÷ 10,606,631 = 0.00103 (5-yr CDR)

1,515,980(2023 pop) X 0.00103 = 1,555 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1,603 – 1,555 = 48 or 48 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

1,603 ÷ 1,555 = 1.0210 or an increase of 2%

for deaths from All Causes among men aged 25-29 living in Canada in 2023, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

12,122,611 X 0.00079 = 9,578 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

12482 – 9,578 = 2,904 or 2,904 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

12,482 ÷ 9,578 = 1.2869 or an increase of 29%

in deaths from All Causes among men aged 25-29 living in Canada in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.