2023 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 10-14 | Canada

2023 vs New Normal™ for children aged 10-14 in Canada

1. 64 of 266 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 24.06% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 101% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 10 of 282 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 54 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2023.
6. 16 fewer than expected All Cause deaths in 2023.
7. 145 fewer than expected deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2023)
8. 296 fewer than expected All Cause deaths over the first 9 years of Canada’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 101% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2023 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many children aged 10-14 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2023, 64 of 2,187,154 children aged 10-14 living in Canada died from Unknown Causes.

64 ÷ 2,187,154 = 0.00003 (2023 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 139 deaths from Unknown Causes among 30,399,479 children aged 10-14 living in Canada in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

139 ÷ 30,399,479 = 0.00000 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2023 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

2,187,154 X 0.00000 = 10 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

64 – 10 = 54

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

64 ÷ 10 = 2.0080

This reveals 54 lives lost and is 200.80% of what we expected (an increase of 101%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among children aged 10-14 living in Canada in 2023, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

165 ÷ 16,081,786 = 0.00001 (5-yr CDR)

2,187,154(2023 pop) X 0.00001 = 22 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

64 – 22 = 42 or 42 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

64 ÷ 22 = 1.4443 or an increase of 44%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among children aged 10-14 living in Canada in 2023, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

18,268,940 X 0.00000 = 84 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

229 – 84 = 145 or 145 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

229 ÷ 84 = 0.8602 or a decrease of 14%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among children aged 10-14 living in Canada in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.