2023 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 20-24 | Canada

2023 vs New Normal™ for people aged 20-24 in Canada

1. 438 of 1,514 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 28.93% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 373% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 66 of 1,464 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 372 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2023.
6. 50 excess All Cause deaths in 2023.
7. 1,547 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2023)
8. 613 excess All Cause deaths over the first 9 years of Canada’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 373% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2023 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many people aged 20-24 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2023, 438 of 2,616,655 people aged 20-24 living in Canada died from Unknown Causes.

438 ÷ 2,616,655 = 0.00017 (2023 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 860 deaths from Unknown Causes among 33,910,535 people aged 20-24 living in Canada in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

860 ÷ 33,910,535 = 0.00003 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2023 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

2,616,655 X 0.00003 = 66 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

438 – 66 = 372

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

438 ÷ 66 = 4.7337

This reveals 372 lives lost and is 473.37% of what we expected (an increase of 373%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 20-24 living in Canada in 2023, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

1,671 ÷ 19,547,605 = 0.00009 (5-yr CDR)

2,616,655(2023 pop) X 0.00009 = 224 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

438 – 224 = 214 or 214 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

438 ÷ 224 = 1.7531 or an increase of 75%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 20-24 living in Canada in 2023, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

22,164,260 X 0.00003 = 562 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

2109 – 562 = 1,547 or 1,547 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

2,109 ÷ 562 = 2.6909 or an increase of 169%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 20-24 living in Canada in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.