2023 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 70-74 | Canada

2023 vs New Normal™ for elderly men and women aged 70-74 in Canada

1. 1,171 of 33,090 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 3.54% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 174% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 409 of 40,477 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 762 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2023.
6. 7,387 fewer than expected All Cause deaths in 2023.
7. 2,892 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2023)
8. 52,625 fewer than expected All Cause deaths over the first 9 years of Canada’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 174% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2023 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men and women aged 70-74 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2023, 1,171 of 1,912,789 elderly men and women aged 70-74 living in Canada died from Unknown Causes.

1,171 ÷ 1,912,789 = 0.00061 (2023 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 3,513 deaths from Unknown Causes among 16,443,556 elderly men and women aged 70-74 living in Canada in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

3,513 ÷ 16,443,556 = 0.00021 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2023 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

1,912,789 X 0.00021 = 409 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

1,171 – 409 = 762

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

1,171 ÷ 409 = 2.7374

This reveals 762 lives lost and is 273.74% of what we expected (an increase of 174%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men and women aged 70-74 living in Canada in 2023, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

4,943 ÷ 13,169,657 = 0.00038 (5-yr CDR)

1,912,789(2023 pop) X 0.00038 = 718 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1,171 – 718 = 453 or 453 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

1,171 ÷ 718 = 1.5887 or an increase of 59%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men and women aged 70-74 living in Canada in 2023, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

15,082,446 X 0.00021 = 3,222 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

6114 – 3,222 = 2,892 or 2,892 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

6,114 ÷ 3,222 = 1.8126 or an increase of 81%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men and women aged 70-74 living in Canada in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.