2023 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 75-79 | Canada

2023 vs New Normal™ for elderly men and women aged 75-79 in Canada

1. 1,271 of 41,360 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 3.07% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 100% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 620 of 50,777 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 651 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2023.
6. 9,417 fewer than expected All Cause deaths in 2023.
7. 2,624 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2023)
8. 61,190 fewer than expected All Cause deaths over the first 9 years of Canada’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 100% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2023 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men and women aged 75-79 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2023, 1,271 of 1,459,513 elderly men and women aged 75-79 living in Canada died from Unknown Causes.

1,271 ÷ 1,459,513 = 0.00087 (2023 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 5,631 deaths from Unknown Causes among 13,246,630 elderly men and women aged 75-79 living in Canada in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

5,631 ÷ 13,246,630 = 0.00043 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2023 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

1,459,513 X 0.00043 = 620 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

1,271 – 620 = 651

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

1,271 ÷ 620 = 2.0015

This reveals 651 lives lost and is 200.15% of what we expected (an increase of 100%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men and women aged 75-79 living in Canada in 2023, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

5,890 ÷ 9,212,398 = 0.00064 (5-yr CDR)

1,459,513(2023 pop) X 0.00064 = 933 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1,271 – 933 = 338 or 338 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

1,271 ÷ 933 = 1.3411 or an increase of 34%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men and women aged 75-79 living in Canada in 2023, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

10,671,911 X 0.00043 = 4,537 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

7161 – 4,537 = 2,624 or 2,624 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

7,161 ÷ 4,537 = 1.5422 or an increase of 54%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men and women aged 75-79 living in Canada in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.