2022 Deaths – All Causes – Teen-aged – 15-19 | New Brunswick, Canada

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  1. Total (23)

    2022 vs New Normal™ for teens aged 15-19 in New Brunswick

    1. 23 of 23 total deaths were from All Causes
    2. 99.96% of all deaths were from All Causes
    3. This is down 7% compared to Old Normal rates.
    4. 24 of 24 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
    5. 1 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes in 2022.
    6. 27 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)
    1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are down 7% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

    Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

    • “How many teens aged 15-19 were there?” and
    • “How many of them died from All Causes?”

    The following 2 charts provide this information:

    Deaths – All Causes – Teen-aged – Aged 15-19 | New Brunswick, Canada

    Graph showing Deaths - All Causes - Teen-aged - Aged 15-19 | New Brunswick, Canada

    Population – Teen-aged – Aged 15-19 – [2001-2022] | New Brunswick, Canada

    Graph showing Population - Teen-aged - Aged 15-19 - [2001-2022] | New Brunswick, Canada

    From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 23 of 41,976 teens aged 15-19 living in New Brunswick died from All Causes.

    23 ÷ 41,976 = 0.00055 (2022 CDR)

    We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes
    Old Normal (2001-2014) New Brunswick teen-aged aged 15-19 All Causes
    Year
    Pop
    Died
    From
    |2001
    51,473
    32
    32
    |2002
    50,685
    39
    39
    |2003
    49,816
    22
    22
    |2004
    49,197
    25
    25
    |2005
    48,907
    28
    28
    |Year
    Pop
    Died
    From

    |2006
    48,757
    21
    21
    |2007
    48,591
    29
    29
    |2008
    48,305
    46
    46
    |2009
    47,954
    28
    28
    |2010
    47,269
    37
    37
    |Year
    Pop
    Died
    From

    |2011
    46,235
    15
    15
    |2012
    44,758
    23
    23
    |2013
    43,378
    24
    24
    |2014
    42,029
    18
    18
     
     
     
     

     
     
     
     

    Cumulative:
    Population
    Deaths
    All Causes

    Totals:
    667,354
    387
    387

    The table shows there were a total of 387 deaths from All Causes among 667,354 teens aged 15-19 living in New Brunswick in the 14 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

    387 ÷ 667,354 = 0.00058 (Old Normal CDR)

    We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

    2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

    41,976 X 0.00058 = 24 expected deaths

    The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

    2324 = -1

    Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

    23 ÷ 24 = 0.9289

    This reveals 1 lives saved and is 92.89% of what we expected (a decrease of 7%) in deaths from All Causes among teens aged 15-19 living in New Brunswick in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

    5yr CDR (2017-2021)

    Year
    Pop
    Died
    From

    |2017
    40,947
    21
    21
    |2018
    40,861
    17
    17
    |2019
    41,095
    26
    26
    |2020
    40,700
    21
    21
    |2021
    40,289
    23
    23
    Total:
    286,500
    140
    140

    This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

    140 ÷ 286,500 = 0.00049 (5-yr CDR)

    41,976(2022 pop) X 0.00049 = 21 expected deaths

    The difference between actual and expected deaths:

    2321 = 2 or 2 lives lost

    Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

    23 ÷ 21 = 1.0988 or an increase of 10%

    for deaths from All Causes among teens aged 15-19 living in New Brunswick in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

    Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

    Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

    New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

    328,476 X 0.00058 = 190 expected deaths

    The difference between actual and expected deaths:

    163190 = -27 or 27 lives saved

    Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

    163 ÷ 190 = 0.8412 or a decrease of 16%

    in deaths from All Causes among teens aged 15-19 living in New Brunswick in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.

    New Normal (2015-2022)

    Year
    Pop
    Died
    From
    |2015
    41,518
    15
    15
    |2016
    41,090
    17
    17
    |2017
    40,947
    21
    21
    |2018
    40,861
    17
    17
    |2019
    41,095
    26
    26
    |2020
    40,700
    21
    21
    |2021
    40,289
    23
    23
    |2022
    41,976
    23
    23
    Total:
    328,476
    163
    163

    The world has been led to believe that a deadly pandemic swept the globe beginning in 2020, causing an increase in death rates, especially among the elderly

    The data show that death rates began to increase in 2015, immediately upon implementation of the UN’s 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, that young adults have experienced ever-increasing death rates since, and that death rates among the elderly have remained relatively stable.

    Return to the top of the page to select another age category.

    Deaths/100,000 teen-aged 15-19 from All Causes

    Graph showing Deaths/100,000 teen-aged 15-19 from All Causes