2022 vs New Normal™ for teens aged 15-19 in New Brunswick
23 of 23 total deaths were from All Causes
99.96% of all deaths were from All Causes
This is down 7% compared to Old Normal rates.
24 of 24 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
1 fewer deaths from All Causes in 2022.
27 fewer deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)
To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are down 7% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.
Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:
“How many teens aged 15-19 were there?” and
“How many of them died from All Causes?”
The following 2 charts provide this information:
Deaths – All Causes – Teen-aged – Aged 15-19 | New Brunswick, Canada
From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 23 of 41,976 teens aged 15-19 living in New Brunswick died from All Causes.
23 ÷ 41,976 = 0.00055 (2022 CDR)
We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes
Old Normal (2001-2014) New Brunswick teen-aged aged 15-19 All Causes
Year
Pop
Died
From
|2001
51,473
32
32
|2002
50,685
39
39
|2003
49,816
22
22
|2004
49,197
25
25
|2005
48,907
28
28
|Year
Pop
Died
From
|2006
48,757
21
21
|2007
48,591
29
29
|2008
48,305
46
46
|2009
47,954
28
28
|2010
47,269
37
37
|Year
Pop
Died
From
|2011
46,235
15
15
|2012
44,758
23
23
|2013
43,378
24
24
|2014
42,029
18
18
Cumulative:
Population
Deaths
All Causes
Totals:
667,354
387
387
The table shows there were a total of 387 deaths from All Causes among 667,354 teens aged 15-19 living in New Brunswick in the 14 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.
387 ÷ 667,354 = 0.00058 (Old Normal CDR)
We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:
2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths
41,976 X 0.00058 = 24 expected deaths
The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:
23 – 24 = -1
Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:
23 ÷ 24 = 0.9289
This reveals 1 lives saved and is 92.89% of what we expected (a decrease of 7%) in deaths from All Causes among teens aged 15-19 living in New Brunswick in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.
Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?
5yr CDR (2017-2021)
Year
Pop
Died
From
|2017
40,947
21
21
|2018
40,861
17
17
|2019
41,095
26
26
|2020
40,700
21
21
|2021
40,289
23
23
Total:
286,500
140
140
This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):
140 ÷ 286,500 = 0.00049 (5-yr CDR)
41,976(2022 pop) X 0.00049 = 21 expected deaths
The difference between actual and expected deaths:
23 – 21 = 2 or 2 lives lost
Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:
23 ÷ 21 = 1.0988 or an increase of 10%
for deaths from All Causes among teens aged 15-19 living in New Brunswick in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.
Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:
New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths
328,476 X 0.00058 = 190 expected deaths
The difference between actual and expected deaths:
163 – 190 = -27 or 27 lives saved
Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:
163 ÷ 190 = 0.8412 or a decrease of 16%
in deaths from All Causes among teens aged 15-19 living in New Brunswick in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.
New Normal (2015-2022)
Year
Pop
Died
From
|2015
41,518
15
15
|2016
41,090
17
17
|2017
40,947
21
21
|2018
40,861
17
17
|2019
41,095
26
26
|2020
40,700
21
21
|2021
40,289
23
23
|2022
41,976
23
23
Total:
328,476
163
163
The world has been led to believe that a deadly pandemic swept the globe beginning in 2020, causing an increase in death rates, especially among the elderly
The data show that death rates began to increase in 2015, immediately upon implementation of the UN’s 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, that young adults have experienced ever-increasing death rates since, and that death rates among the elderly have remained relatively stable.
Browse through the age-categorized charts below to see the evidence of this. Click on any chart to see the full analysis for each age group.
8,387 of the 8,387 deaths among individuals of all ages living in New Brunswick in 2022 were from All Causes (100.00% of all deaths).
This is up 23% compared to Old Normal (2001-2014) rates which, when applied to the this year's both sexes population of 812,061 individuals would have predicted 6,797 deaths from All Causes.
This means there were 1,590 more deaths than expected from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in New Brunswick in 2022.
To date, 8,390 individual lives have been lost to All Causes over the first 8 years of New Brunswick's New Normal™.
Browse through the age categories below to learn how these deaths from All Causes in 2022 are distributed among each age group of individuals in New Brunswick.
Click the bar graph above to see how both the 2022 loss of 1,590 lives and the 8-year loss of 8,390 individual lives from All Causes is arrived at.
The first 32 of the 8,387 deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among pre-schoolers aged 0-4, accounting for 99.97% of the 32 total deaths in this group.
This is down 7% compared to Old Normal rates which, when applied to this year's population of 33,459 pre-schoolers aged 0-4, would have predicted 34 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 2 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among pre-schoolers aged 0-4 living in New Brunswick in 2022.
Overall, 238 deaths from All Causes represent 40 lives saved among pre-schoolers aged 0-4 over the first 8 years of New Brunswick's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how both the 2022 total of 2 fewer live lost than expected and the 8 year total of 238 lives saved from All Causes among pre-schoolers aged 0-4 is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 32 / 8,387
The next 4 of the 8,387 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among children aged 5-9, accounting for 99.75% of the 4 total deaths in this group.
This is down 23% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 38,742 children aged 5-9, would have predicted 5 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 1 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among children aged 5-9 living in New Brunswick in 2022.
Overall, 22 deaths from All Causes represent 16 lives saved among children aged 5-9 over the first 8 years of New Brunswick's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 1 fewer and the 8 year total of 22 fewer individual aged 5-9 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 36 / 8,387
The next 9 of the 8,387 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among children aged 10-14, accounting for 99.89% of the 9 total deaths in this group.
This is up 9% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 41,870 children aged 10-14, would have predicted 8 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 1 more deaths than expected from All Causes among children aged 10-14 living in New Brunswick in 2022.
Overall, 48 deaths from All Causes represent 11 lives saved among children aged 10-14 over the first 8 years of New Brunswick's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 1 more and the 8 year total of 48 more individual aged 10-14 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 45 / 8,387
The next 23 of the 8,387 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among teens aged 15-19, accounting for 99.96% of the 23 total deaths in this group.
This is down 7% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 41,976 teens aged 15-19, would have predicted 24 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 1 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among teens aged 15-19 living in New Brunswick in 2022.
Overall, 163 deaths from All Causes represent 27 lives saved among teens aged 15-19 over the first 8 years of New Brunswick's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 1 fewer and the 8 year total of 163 fewer individual aged 15-19 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 68 / 8,387
The next 29 of the 8,387 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 20-24, accounting for 99.97% of the 29 total deaths in this group.
This is down 10% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 48,383 people aged 20-24, would have predicted 32 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 3 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 20-24 living in New Brunswick in 2022.
Overall, 234 deaths from All Causes represent 0 lives lost among people aged 20-24 over the first 8 years of New Brunswick's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 3 fewer and the 8 year total of 234 fewer individual aged 20-24 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 97 / 8,387
The next 34 of the 8,387 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 25-29, accounting for 99.97% of the 34 total deaths in this group.
This is down 2% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 47,961 people aged 25-29, would have predicted 34 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 0 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 25-29 living in New Brunswick in 2022.
Overall, 274 deaths from All Causes represent 23 lives lost among people aged 25-29 over the first 8 years of New Brunswick's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 0 fewer and the 8 year total of 274 fewer individual aged 25-29 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 131 / 8,387
The next 42 of the 8,387 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 30-34, accounting for 99.98% of the 42 total deaths in this group.
This is up 16% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 48,307 people aged 30-34, would have predicted 36 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 6 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 30-34 living in New Brunswick in 2022.
Overall, 318 deaths from All Causes represent 54 lives lost among people aged 30-34 over the first 8 years of New Brunswick's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 6 more and the 8 year total of 318 more individual aged 30-34 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 173 / 8,387
The next 52 of the 8,387 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 35-39, accounting for 99.98% of the 52 total deaths in this group.
This is up 3% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 48,962 people aged 35-39, would have predicted 50 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 2 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 35-39 living in New Brunswick in 2022.
Overall, 394 deaths from All Causes represent 14 lives lost among people aged 35-39 over the first 8 years of New Brunswick's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 2 more and the 8 year total of 394 more individual aged 35-39 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 225 / 8,387
The next 72 of the 8,387 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 40-44, accounting for 99.99% of the 72 total deaths in this group.
This is down 3% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 48,999 people aged 40-44, would have predicted 74 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 2 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 40-44 living in New Brunswick in 2022.
Overall, 597 deaths from All Causes represent 6 lives lost among people aged 40-44 over the first 8 years of New Brunswick's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 2 fewer and the 8 year total of 597 fewer individual aged 40-44 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 297 / 8,387
The next 101 of the 8,387 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 45-49, accounting for 99.99% of the 101 total deaths in this group.
This is down 13% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 51,567 people aged 45-49, would have predicted 116 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 15 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 45-49 living in New Brunswick in 2022.
Overall, 901 deaths from All Causes represent 37 lives saved among people aged 45-49 over the first 8 years of New Brunswick's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 15 fewer and the 8 year total of 901 fewer individual aged 45-49 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 398 / 8,387
The next 185 of the 8,387 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 50-54, accounting for 99.99% of the 185 total deaths in this group.
This is down 3% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 53,953 people aged 50-54, would have predicted 189 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 4 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 50-54 living in New Brunswick in 2022.
Overall, 1,572 deaths from All Causes represent 49 lives saved among people aged 50-54 over the first 8 years of New Brunswick's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 4 fewer and the 8 year total of 1,572 fewer individual aged 50-54 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 583 / 8,387
The next 327 of the 8,387 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 55-59, accounting for 100.00% of the 327 total deaths in this group.
This is down 3% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 61,033 people aged 55-59, would have predicted 336 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 9 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 55-59 living in New Brunswick in 2022.
Overall, 2,709 deaths from All Causes represent 53 lives saved among people aged 55-59 over the first 8 years of New Brunswick's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 9 fewer and the 8 year total of 2,709 fewer individual aged 55-59 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 910 / 8,387
The next 474 of the 8,387 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 60-64, accounting for 100.00% of the 474 total deaths in this group.
This is down 14% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 62,767 people aged 60-64, would have predicted 548 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 74 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 60-64 living in New Brunswick in 2022.
Overall, 3,972 deaths from All Causes represent 261 lives saved among people aged 60-64 over the first 8 years of New Brunswick's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 74 fewer and the 8 year total of 3,972 fewer individual aged 60-64 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 1,384 / 8,387
The next 779 of the 8,387 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 65-69, accounting for 100.00% of the 779 total deaths in this group.
This is down 4% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 58,570 elderly men and women aged 65-69, would have predicted 810 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 31 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in New Brunswick in 2022.
Overall, 5,671 deaths from All Causes represent 329 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 65-69 over the first 8 years of New Brunswick's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 31 fewer and the 8 year total of 5,671 fewer individual aged 65-69 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 2,163 / 8,387
The next 1,035 of the 8,387 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 70-74, accounting for 100.00% of the 1,035 total deaths in this group.
This is down 12% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 49,155 elderly men and women aged 70-74, would have predicted 1,170 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 135 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 70-74 living in New Brunswick in 2022.
Overall, 6,860 deaths from All Causes represent 1,279 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 70-74 over the first 8 years of New Brunswick's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 135 fewer and the 8 year total of 6,860 fewer individual aged 70-74 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 3,198 / 8,387
The next 1,108 of the 8,387 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 75-79, accounting for 100.00% of the 1,108 total deaths in this group.
This is down 19% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 35,109 elderly men and women aged 75-79, would have predicted 1,372 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 264 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 75-79 living in New Brunswick in 2022.
Overall, 7,514 deaths from All Causes represent 1,500 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 75-79 over the first 8 years of New Brunswick's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 264 fewer and the 8 year total of 7,514 fewer individual aged 75-79 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 4,306 / 8,387
The next 1,179 of the 8,387 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 80-84, accounting for 100.00% of the 1,179 total deaths in this group.
This is down 13% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 21,502 elderly men and women aged 80-84, would have predicted 1,363 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 184 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 80-84 living in New Brunswick in 2022.
Overall, 8,601 deaths from All Causes represent 955 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 80-84 over the first 8 years of New Brunswick's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 184 fewer and the 8 year total of 8,601 fewer individual aged 80-84 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 5,485 / 8,387
The next 1,179 of the 8,387 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 80-84, accounting for 100.00% of the 1,179 total deaths in this group.
This is down 13% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 21,502 elderly men and women aged 80-84, would have predicted 1,363 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 184 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 80-84 living in New Brunswick in 2022.
Overall, 8,601 deaths from All Causes represent 955 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 80-84 over the first 8 years of New Brunswick's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 184 fewer and the 8 year total of 8,601 fewer individual aged 80-84 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 6,664 / 8,387
The next 1,326 of the 8,387 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 85-89, accounting for 100.00% of the 1,326 total deaths in this group.
This is up 4% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 12,145 elderly men and women aged 85-89, would have predicted 1,273 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 53 more deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 85-89 living in New Brunswick in 2022.
Overall, 9,235 deaths from All Causes represent 350 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 85-89 over the first 8 years of New Brunswick's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 53 more and the 8 year total of 9,235 more individual aged 85-89 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 7,990 / 8,387
The next 1,576 of the 8,387 deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 90+, accounting for 100.00% of the 1,576 total deaths in this group.
This is down 12% compared to Old Normal rates which, when applied to this year's population of 7,601 would have predicted 1,782 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 206 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 90+ living in New Brunswick in 2022.
Overall, 11,144 deaths from All Causes represent 2,280 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 90+ over the first 8 years of New Brunswick's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the 8 year total of 11,144 excess individual deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 9,566 / 8,387*
* New Brunswick does not report the deaths of 1,179 babies in it's death totals
![Graph showing Populalation - Teen-aged - Aged 15-19 - [2001-2022] | New Brunswick, Canada](/wp-content/plugins/dfuc-display/charts/canada/new-brunswick/2022/all/Both Sexes/15-19-pop.png)
