2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 75-79 | Newfoundland, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly men and women aged 75-79 in Newfoundland

1. 834 of 834 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is down 27% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 1,141 of 1,141 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 307 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 1,494 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are down 27% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men and women aged 75-79 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 834 of 24,456 elderly men and women aged 75-79 living in Newfoundland died from All Causes.

834 ÷ 24,456 = 0.03410 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 9,658 deaths from All Causes among 207,053 elderly men and women aged 75-79 living in Newfoundland in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

9,658 ÷ 207,053 = 0.04665 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

24,456 X 0.04665 = 1,141 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

834 – 1,141 = -307

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

834 ÷ 1,141 = 0.7309

This reveals 307 lives saved and is 73.09% of what we expected (a decrease of 27%) in deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 75-79 living in Newfoundland in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

4,919 ÷ 130,907 = 0.03758 (5-yr CDR)

24,456(2022 pop) X 0.03758 = 919 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

834 – 919 = -85 or 85 lives saved

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

834 ÷ 919 = 0.9073 or a decrease of 9%

for deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 75-79 living in Newfoundland in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

155,363 X 0.04665 = 7,247 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

5753 – 7,247 = -1,494 or 1,494 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

5,753 ÷ 7,247 = 0.7937 or a decrease of 21%

in deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 75-79 living in Newfoundland in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.