2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 80-84 | Newfoundland, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly men and women aged 80-84 in Newfoundland

1. 930 of 930 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is down 11% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 1,042 of 1,042 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 112 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 818 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are down 11% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men and women aged 80-84 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 930 of 13,649 elderly men and women aged 80-84 living in Newfoundland died from All Causes.

930 ÷ 13,649 = 0.06814 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 10,862 deaths from All Causes among 142,295 elderly men and women aged 80-84 living in Newfoundland in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

10,862 ÷ 142,295 = 0.07633 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

13,649 X 0.07633 = 1,042 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

930 – 1,042 = -112

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

930 ÷ 1,042 = 0.8925

This reveals 112 lives saved and is 89.25% of what we expected (a decrease of 11%) in deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 80-84 living in Newfoundland in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

5,571 ÷ 82,228 = 0.06775 (5-yr CDR)

13,649(2022 pop) X 0.06775 = 925 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

930 – 925 = 5 or 5 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

930 ÷ 925 = 1.0056 or an increase of 1%

for deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 80-84 living in Newfoundland in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

95,877 X 0.07633 = 7,319 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

6501 – 7,319 = -818 or 818 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

6,501 ÷ 7,319 = 0.8882 or a decrease of 11%

in deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 80-84 living in Newfoundland in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.