2022 Deaths – All Causes – Female – Ages 75-79 | Newfoundland, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly women aged 75-79 in Newfoundland

1. 377 of 377 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is down 21% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 477 of 477 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 100 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 431 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are down 21% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly women aged 75-79 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 377 of 12,678 elderly women aged 75-79 living in Newfoundland died from All Causes.

377 ÷ 12,678 = 0.02974 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 4,269 deaths from All Causes among 113,411 elderly women aged 75-79 living in Newfoundland in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

4,269 ÷ 113,411 = 0.03764 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

12,678 X 0.03764 = 477 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

377 – 477 = -100

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

377 ÷ 477 = 0.7898

This reveals 100 lives saved and is 78.98% of what we expected (a decrease of 21%) in deaths from All Causes among elderly women aged 75-79 living in Newfoundland in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

2,229 ÷ 68,006 = 0.03278 (5-yr CDR)

12,678(2022 pop) X 0.03278 = 416 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

377 – 416 = -39 or 39 lives saved

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

377 ÷ 416 = 0.9070 or a decrease of 9%

for deaths from All Causes among elderly women aged 75-79 living in Newfoundland in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

80,684 X 0.03764 = 3,037 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

2606 – 3,037 = -431 or 431 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

2,606 ÷ 3,037 = 0.8578 or a decrease of 14%

in deaths from All Causes among elderly women aged 75-79 living in Newfoundland in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.