2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Male – All Ages | Newfoundland, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for men of all ages in Newfoundland

1. 209 of 3,236 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 6.46% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 370% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 42 of 2,374 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 167 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 862 excess All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 458 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 3,260 excess All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of Newfoundland’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 370% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 209 of 259,761 men of all ages living in Newfoundland died from Unknown Causes.

209 ÷ 259,761 = 0.00080 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 620 deaths from Unknown Causes among 3,844,616 men of all ages living in Newfoundland in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

620 ÷ 3,844,616 = 0.00016 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

259,761 X 0.00016 = 42 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

209 – 42 = 167

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

209 ÷ 42 = 4.6979

This reveals 167 lives lost and is 469.79% of what we expected (an increase of 370%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among men of all ages living in Newfoundland in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

584 ÷ 1,819,601 = 0.00032 (5-yr CDR)

259,761(2022 pop) X 0.00032 = 83 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

209 – 83 = 126 or 126 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

209 ÷ 83 = 2.4311 or an increase of 143%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among men of all ages living in Newfoundland in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

2,079,362 X 0.00016 = 335 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

793 – 335 = 458 or 458 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

793 ÷ 335 = 2.2268 or an increase of 123%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among men of all ages living in Newfoundland in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.