2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 85-89 | Northwest Territories, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly men and women aged 85-89 in Northwest Territories

1. 24 of 24 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 99.96% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 35% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 18 of 18 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 6 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 35 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 35% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men and women aged 85-89 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 24 of 160 elderly men and women aged 85-89 living in Northwest Territories died from All Causes.

24 ÷ 160 = 0.14999 (2022 CDR)

The table shows there were a total of 185 deaths from All Causes among 1,667 elderly men and women aged 85-89 living in Northwest Territories in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

185 ÷ 1,667 = 0.11098 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

160 X 0.11098 = 18 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

24 – 18 = 6

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

24 ÷ 18 = 1.3514

This reveals 6 lives lost and is 135.14% of what we expected (an increase of 35%) in deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 85-89 living in Northwest Territories in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

136 ÷ 968 = 0.14049 (5-yr CDR)

160(2022 pop) X 0.14049 = 22 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

24 – 22 = 2 or 2 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

24 ÷ 22 = 1.0675 or an increase of 7%

for deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 85-89 living in Northwest Territories in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

1,128 X 0.11098 = 125 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

160 – 125 = 35 or 35 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

160 ÷ 125 = 1.2780 or an increase of 28%

in deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 85-89 living in Northwest Territories in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.