2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – 80-84 | Nova Scotia, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly men and women aged 80-84 in Nova Scotia

1. 1,575 of 1,575 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is down 10% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 1,750 of 1,750 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 175 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 1,194 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are down 10% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men and women aged 80-84 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 1,575 of 26,234 elderly men and women aged 80-84 living in Nova Scotia died from All Causes.

1,575 ÷ 26,234 = 0.06004 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 19,748 deaths from All Causes among 296,062 elderly men and women aged 80-84 living in Nova Scotia in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

19,748 ÷ 296,062 = 0.06670 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

26,234 X 0.06670 = 1,750 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

1,575 – 1,750 = -175

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

1,575 ÷ 1,750 = 0.8999

This reveals 175 lives saved and is 89.99% of what we expected (a decrease of 10%) in deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 80-84 living in Nova Scotia in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

9,709 ÷ 160,831 = 0.06037 (5-yr CDR)

26,234(2022 pop) X 0.06037 = 1,584 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1,575 – 1,584 = -9 or 9 lives saved

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

1,575 ÷ 1,584 = 0.9943 or a decrease of 1%

for deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 80-84 living in Nova Scotia in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

187,065 X 0.06670 = 12,478 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

11284 – 12,478 = -1,194 or 1,194 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

11,284 ÷ 12,478 = 0.9042 or a decrease of 10%

in deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 80-84 living in Nova Scotia in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.